Frost dates for Carmel 4n, NY
At Carmel 4n, the median last spring frost (32°F) is Apr 28 and the median first fall frost is Oct 16, for a typical growing season of 170 days. For a 90% chance that the last frost has passed, wait until May 14. Nearby ZIP codes are in USDA hardiness zones 6a to 6b.
- Apr 28Last spring frost (median)50% chance of 32°F after this date
- May 14Safer planting date10% chance of 32°F after this date
- Oct 16First fall frost (median)50% chance of 32°F by this date
- 170 daysGrowing season (median)between 32°F freezes
Last spring frost dates
The chance that the temperature drops to the threshold after each date.
| Temperature | 90% chance later | 50% chance later | 10% chance later |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 25 | May 10 | May 25 |
| 32°F | Apr 14 | Apr 28 | May 14 |
| 28°F | Mar 31 | Apr 13 | Apr 30 |
| 24°F | Mar 18 | Apr 1 | Apr 14 |
First fall frost dates
The chance that the temperature has dropped to the threshold by each date.
| Temperature | 10% chance by | 50% chance by | 90% chance by |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 25 | Oct 5 | Oct 19 |
| 32°F | Oct 3 | Oct 16 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 12 | Oct 28 | Nov 11 |
| 24°F | Oct 25 | Nov 9 | Nov 25 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze, as the length reached in 9, 5 and 1 out of 10 years.
| Temperature | 9 in 10 years at least | 5 in 10 years at least | 1 in 10 years at least |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 130 days | 148 days | 167 days |
| 32°F | 151 days | 170 days | 189 days |
| 28°F | 174 days | 196 days | 216 days |
| 24°F | 201 days | 221 days | 242 days |
Chance of a freeze in any year
| Temperature | Chance per year |
|---|---|
| 36°F | 100% |
| 32°F | 100% |
| 28°F | 100% |
| 24°F | 100% |
ZIP codes whose closest station is this one
| ZIP | Hardiness zone | Avg. extreme low | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10512 | 6b | -5 to 0°F | 5 km |
| 12563 | 6b | -5 to 0°F | 6 km |
| 10509 | 6b | -5 to 0°F | 9 km |
| 12564 | 6a | -10 to -5°F | 14 km |
| 10519 | 6b | -5 to 0°F | 14 km |
| 06784 | 6b | -5 to 0°F | 18 km |
| 06755 | 6b | -5 to 0°F | 24 km |
Not the official USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map. Zones shown here are the values published in the USDA-ARS / Oregon State University PRISM Group 2023 ZIP code tables, shown unaltered. For the official interactive map, visit planthardiness.ars.usda.gov.
About this station
- NOAA station ID USC00301211, at 41.4725, -73.6550, elevation 207 m (680 ft).
- Data quality: Representative (10+ years), 17 years of freeze data.
- Average days per year at or below 32°F: 137.
- Frost risk changes over short distances. Valleys and low spots freeze earlier than hillsides and city centers.
Nearby weather stations
- Stormville (9 km)
- Shrub Oak (22 km)
- Poughkeepsie Dutchess Co Airport (26 km)
- Yorktown Heights 1w (26 km)
- West Point (27 km)
- Millbrook 3 W (36 km)
- Poughkeepsie (36 km)
- Walden 1 ESE (43 km)
Sources
- NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020, annual/seasonal normals by station (version 1.0.1), file dated June 27, 2023; documentation.
- USDA Agricultural Research Service and PRISM Group, Oregon State University, 2023 Plant Hardiness Zone Map ZIP code tables (CONUS, Alaska, Hawaii, Puerto Rico), files dated November 17, 2023. Data © PRISM Group, Oregon State University, https://prism.oregonstate.edu, accessed November 1, 2026. Official map: planthardiness.ars.usda.gov.
- U.S. Census Bureau, 2024 Gazetteer ZIP Code Tabulation Areas file, dated August 30, 2024 (ZIP centroids used to find the nearest station).
Freeze dates are 30-year probabilities, not forecasts. Check your local forecast before planting tender plants.